BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
METHOD:PUBLISH
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/London
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19701025T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19700329T010000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU
END:DAYLIGHT
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:69e14e884a0b8
DTSTAMP:20260416T210304Z
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20220607T180000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20220607T190000
TZID:Europe/London
SUMMARY:Climate Change and Climate Enigmas
DESCRIPTION:Climate change is an old problem. A few sceptics still maintain that it is clouded in uncertainty, while others say the science is settled or that we can now shut down the IPCC.    Professor Steven Sherwood, University of New South Wales, will briefly review the relatively long history of climate science and how we can be confident we have "settled" a few crucial matters - most importantly, that Earth's temperature is indeed sensitive to human activities and that even seemingly small changes have big impacts (which are mostly bad simply because our whole society and even biology are optimised for the previous climate which nourished our development).    On the other hand, there are some interesting enigmas that we have not yet solved and which should be keeping climate scientists awake at night. Most important are a variety of strange patterns appearing in records of ancient climate changes which do not agree with what our models predict should have happened. Even the observed global ocean warming over the last century does not quite look like we would have expected.    And there are certain systematic errors in how our climate models simulate the present-day atmosphere that don't seem to go away no matter how hard we try to improve the models. While these problems don't erode our confidence that global warming is real, caused by humans, and threatens our future, they do call into question how confidently we can predict what exactly is coming. Indeed they leave open the possibility of potentially nasty future surprises such as reorganisations of the global atmospheric circulation.    Professor Sherwood will end by suggesting some current and needed scientific activities to try to resolve these uncertainties.    This event is part of a Carnegie Trust-funded research workshop on Continental Climate Change hosted by Dr Michael Byrne and the Climate Dynamics Lab. The workshop will take place at St Andrews from Monday 6 to Wednesday 8 June 2022.    The public lecture will be followed by a reception in Upper College Hall. https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/climate-change-and-climate-enigmas-2/
LOCATION:School II, St Salvator\'s Quad, North Street, St Andrews, Fife, Scotland, KY16 9AL
URL:https://events.st-andrews.ac.uk/events/climate-change-and-climate-enigmas-2/
End:VEVENT
End:VCALENDAR