Propagation of Thermohaline Anomalies and their predictive potential in the Northern North Atlantic MASTS webinar with Helene R Langehaug - Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC), Norway - free

We assess to what extent seven different dynamical climate prediction systems can predict winter sea surface temperature. We focus on the pathway where Atlantic water flows towards the Arctic Ocean in the period 1970-2005. Observational studies suggest that there is predictability on decadal time scale in this region. However, predictive skill drops after 1-2 years in the prediction systems and we investigate possible reasons for the poor skill along the poleward pathway.